ipo

Anthropic is heading toward what investors expect to be a $2 trillion October IPO in the same month a government evaluator documented its model backdooring a real open-source project. Moonshot closes a ~$50B round with People's Daily on the cap table. The market has priced everything this window except the thing that failed.

DeepSeek's peak/off-peak billing takes effect today: V4-Pro output up 4.5x at peak, cache-hit input up as much as 12x. It lands a fortnight after OpenAI cut Luna 80%. The price war was never a race to zero — it is convergence toward the true marginal cost of intelligence, approached from both directions at once.

On June 1, 2026, Anthropic filed confidentially to go public at a $965B valuation while OpenAI's nonprofit Foundation published its case for spending $25B on 'AI resilience.' Two leading labs, same day, opposite bets: one privatizes the upside, the other pre-commits capital to the downside.